Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb68f384fa9156d0e615bbf562de8fd19486bf1d366efba6678cd6253c9a8299b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Esprit Shōnenof Esprit Shōnen, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,277
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F9 EICAR | 37c | 2,066$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.77 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Esprit Shōnen | 57c | 1,274$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.98 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Esprit Shōnen | 60c | 239.38$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.91 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed Esprit Shōnen | 46c | 131.59$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.06 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…3dcebacked F9 EICAR | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked F9 EICAR | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed F9 EICAR | 52c | 59.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.86 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Esprit Shōnen | 45c | 53.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 418 | 35.6%149 W · 269 L | -19.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed F9 EICAR | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 50c | 35.45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.71 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 29.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Esprit Shōnen | 65c | 23.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 267 | 30.7%82 W · 185 L | -13.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Esprit Shōnen | 79c | 17.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular SeasonF9 EICAR won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.