Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5500c714636d76dfa6b06c6bea8f31f1e6dc510ff781cff945f07f01459f0bda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- F9 EICARof Esprit Shōnen, F9 EICAR
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,628
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 3,238$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.13 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Esprit Shōnen | 49c | 3,058$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504.08 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed Esprit Shōnen | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 0%0 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Esprit Shōnen | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 52 | 1.9%1 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xceb1…bd4fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 2c | 1,465$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Esprit Shōnen | 51c | 827.43$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.38 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7b…440fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 2c | 750$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 0%0 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed F9 EICAR | 49c | 648.65$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.45 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Esprit Shōnen | 46c | 552.46$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.34 | 112 | 58%65 W · 47 L | +12.8wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked F9 EICAR | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed F9 EICAR | 54c | 498.06$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.11 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Esprit Shōnen | 41c | 466.9$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.18 | 234 | 47%110 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Esprit Shōnen | 37c | 316.48$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 324 | 62.7%203 W · 121 L | +31.7wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked F9 EICAR | 37c | 315.95$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.89 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Esprit Shōnen | 56c | 306.96$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.9 | 154 | 50%77 W · 77 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 296.02$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.51 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed F9 EICAR | 43c | 238.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.71 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked F9 EICAR | 48c | 170.95$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.31 | 157 | 54.1%85 W · 72 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Esprit Shōnen | 43c | 154.53$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.45 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf80…97ebbacked Esprit Shōnen | 36c | 133.56$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.08 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Esprit Shōnen | 66c | 121.6$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.81 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked F9 EICAR | 64c | 112.81$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed F9 EICAR | 63c | 110.52$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.84 | 106 | 30.2%32 W · 74 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 311 | 53.1%165 W · 146 L | +15.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…2c71backed F9 EICAR | 58c | 84.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked Esprit Shōnen | 62c | 82.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.22 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Esprit Shōnen | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 121 | 57%69 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e0…fe90backed Esprit Shōnen | 18c | 72.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d07…025cbacked F9 EICAR | 64c | 68.79$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.77 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Esprit Shōnen | 29c | 61.15$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 155 | 12.3%19 W · 136 L | -27.4wins | -0.18per pick | 30cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked F9 EICAR | 57c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | -13.5wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Esprit Shōnen | 53c | 55.47$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.21 | 420 | 51.9%218 W · 202 L | -21.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked F9 EICAR | 53c | 55.08$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked Esprit Shōnen | 29c | 49.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 112 | 32.1%36 W · 76 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Esprit Shōnen | 54c | 44.36$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Esprit Shōnen | 38c | 41.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.83 | 575 | 17.7%102 W · 473 L | -71.7wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d82…9ecdbacked Esprit Shōnen | 75c | 26.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Esprit Shōnen | 56c | 24.41$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.63 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed F9 EICAR | 59c | 21.16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR (BO3) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Regular Seasonthis page
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 1 WinnerEsprit Shōnen won
- Valorant: Esprit Shōnen vs F9 EICAR - Map 2 WinnerF9 EICAR won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.