TailMyPicks
Market

Tennis · resolved market

Copa Colsanitas, Qualification: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jazmin Ortenziof Jazmin Ortenzi, Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$68,600
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,117

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,600 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x223f…2050backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c10,472$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40050731.2%158 W · 349 L-41.2wins-0.08per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda0c7,676$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.242,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda3c7,253$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.5965647.6%312 W · 344 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc8e…f961backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c5,943$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.745724.6%14 W · 43 L-6.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-30.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc87…ea3bbacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c4,616$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.9933346.2%154 W · 179 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c2,560$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.766,79236.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L-98.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda3c2,282$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.274124.4%10 W · 31 L-5.0wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.4%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda5c1,941$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.011,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c1,929$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.3924928.9%72 W · 177 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c1,674$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.23,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda2c1,081$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.31,10742.8%474 W · 633 L-20.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c545.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.821,98046.2%915 W · 1,065 L-1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x48e3…c148backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015724.8%39 W · 118 L+5.8wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c417.58$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.16934.3%4 W · 89 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-21%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3073…c6adbacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda5c370.21$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1820%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabfb…12e5backed Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda5c278.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.165113.7%7 W · 44 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-36%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda4c249.43$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.371,35443.9%595 W · 759 L-62.8wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Sara Alejandra Lozano Avellaneda5c240$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.