College Football · resolved market
O/U 43.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6aa771b4b3740a9fc7fb382479745c8e92cd30f58c2137490b1c2b8cc1f575a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 50c | 18,601$9,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,346.06 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Over | 52c | 10,347$5,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,380.44 | 210 | 55.2%116 W · 94 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 7,875$3,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,948.12 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x445e…9be0backed Over | 50c | 4,747$2,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,381.07 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d2…cc46backed Under | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Under | 49c | 4,000$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 50c | 3,008$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Under | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 49c | 1,845$904 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.94 | 588 | 50.2%295 W · 293 L | +23.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7a…b22fbacked Over | 51c | 1,824$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$930 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 49c | 1,750$858 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.55 | 485 | 46.8%227 W · 258 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x437c…f458backed Under | 50c | 1,622$809 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.2 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 49c | 1,257$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$641.31 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Under | 50c | 1,200$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Under | 47c | 1,200$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636 | 167 | 47.9%80 W · 87 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 132 | 42.4%56 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 49c | 400$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc89d…5909backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…31eabacked Over | 53c | 339.62$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 45cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 568 | 44.5%253 W · 315 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5971…6ff6backed Over | 51c | 200$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d7…6986backed Under | 50c | 176$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb3…f152backed Over | 51c | 124$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd995…9bcbbacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9da3…a7efbacked Over | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 87 | 51.7%45 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 50c | 81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Over | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46a…e9dbbacked Under | 50c | 64$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 118 | 49.2%58 W · 60 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Under | 49c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 47c | 40.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 492 | 53.5%263 W · 229 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Under | 51c | 28.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb72…2cbdbacked Under | 50c | 24$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Under | 49c | 21.76$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a38…7446backed Over | 51c | 20.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…1956backed Over | 51c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 100 | 30%30 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5779…168dbacked Over | 53c | 19.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 43.5this page
- Miami (OH) vs. Western MichiganWestern Michigan won
- Miami (OH) vs. Western Michigan: 1H MoneylineWestern Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-1.5)Western Michigan won
- Spread: Western Michigan (-2.5)Western Michigan won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.