CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6b6d79a34469190e36b4749bef7ac319580eaafefec3ba7b28748f8ed4020aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MEIA NOITEof Grêmio Esports, MEIA NOITE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,972
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,972 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed MEIA NOITE | 56c | 1,115$626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.06 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grêmio Esports | 39c | 954.1$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.83 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d7e…2ef7backed Grêmio Esports | 51c | 620$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked MEIA NOITE | 56c | 607.23$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Grêmio Esports | 43c | 555.97$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.43 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Grêmio Esports | 41c | 435.04$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.75 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdda3…d55fbacked MEIA NOITE | 57c | 399.99$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Grêmio Esports | 37c | 392$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.68 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked MEIA NOITE | 54c | 324$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.69 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed MEIA NOITE | 65c | 253$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.63 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07e8…faaebacked MEIA NOITE | 43c | 226.4$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Grêmio Esports | 45c | 212.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.66 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Grêmio Esports | 69c | 188.64$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.44 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked MEIA NOITE | 66c | 166.31$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.77 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked MEIA NOITE | 56c | 165.59$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.54 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Grêmio Esports | 42c | 154.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.09 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc0c…dac0backed MEIA NOITE | 74c | 130$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.36 | 414 | 75.4%312 W · 102 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Grêmio Esports | 43c | 126.8$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.67 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0868…efe8backed Grêmio Esports | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 78 | 37.2%29 W · 49 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Grêmio Esports | 41c | 98.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Grêmio Esports | 34c | 74.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked MEIA NOITE | 37c | 68.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked MEIA NOITE | 53c | 66.84$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21ce…e2eabacked Grêmio Esports | 31c | 64.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed MEIA NOITE | 57c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3688…c64abacked MEIA NOITE | 61c | 55.88$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked MEIA NOITE | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf61…f9e2backed Grêmio Esports | 45c | 42.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.29 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Grêmio Esports | 69c | 38$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.22 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa211…c0e1backed MEIA NOITE | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked MEIA NOITE | 58c | 27.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.49 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Grêmio Esports | 42c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.01 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE (BO3) - CCT South America Challengers #2 PlayoffsMEIA NOITE won
- Counter-Strike: Grêmio Esports vs MEIA NOITE - Map 1 WinnerGrêmio Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.