Tennis · resolved market
Pan Pacific Open: Moyuka Uchijima vs Sofia Kenin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb712f57793cb2fa352162e5d30cab0537c8676fade4ba80e5ec7e69b30437fc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Keninof Uchijima, Kenin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,402
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,373
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,402 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Uchijima | 21c | 4,669$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.1 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Kenin | 69c | 1,688$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.2 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kenin | 72c | 1,205$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.52 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4692…0feebacked Uchijima | 35c | 863.97$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 159 | 51.6%82 W · 77 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Uchijima | 14c | 704.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Kenin | 69c | 445$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.5 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Uchijima | 17c | 434.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.66 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Kenin | 69c | 408.49$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.49 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Uchijima | 45c | 259.64$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.56 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…9a91backed Uchijima | 10c | 228.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Kenin | 55c | 223.64$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.64 | 116 | 47.4%55 W · 61 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Kenin | 52c | 203.09$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.41 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Kenin | 52c | 170$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.9 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Kenin | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65d3…d153backed Uchijima | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Uchijima | 47c | 87$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.89 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Uchijima | 21c | 62.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Kenin | 52c | 46.19$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Kenin | 56c | 32.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa13b…1a4dbacked Kenin | 70c | 23.83$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.19 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kenin | 78c | 18.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Kenin | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.