CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7263e25d71d0e5bcedb9544be64b29d9af9101e91a42fb703ac5f3938256756
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiNof GamerLegion, paiN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,947
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,947 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x47a8…52f9backed paiN | 67c | 10,172$6,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,356.8 | 101 | 42.6%43 W · 58 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed GamerLegion | 33c | 3,000$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990 | 170 | 45.9%78 W · 92 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed GamerLegion | 33c | 2,273$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 352 | 36.4%128 W · 224 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa019…f444backed GamerLegion | 33c | 2,121$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked GamerLegion | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 1,154 | 48.3%557 W · 597 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b21…4b63backed GamerLegion | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed paiN | 65c | 616.12$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.84 | 188 | 46.3%87 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed GamerLegion | 33c | 589.3$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.47 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked GamerLegion | 34c | 574.17$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.84 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked paiN | 66c | 483.79$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.89 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4e3…d5f4backed GamerLegion | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89eb…cff9backed paiN | 34c | 294.12$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.12 | 364 | 50.3%183 W · 181 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7218…8b34backed GamerLegion | 68c | 249.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.99 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 246.15$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 633 | 41.9%265 W · 368 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed paiN | 32c | 242.64$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.99 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ea…59a1backed paiN | 35c | 216.05$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.73 | 192 | 38%73 W · 119 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 215.14$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.3 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GamerLegion | 46c | 159.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.19 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3f…d4bfbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 73 | 37%27 W · 46 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8593…8cfbbacked paiN | 67c | 74.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.76 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8701…8147backed GamerLegion | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…32f0backed GamerLegion | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 182 | 39%71 W · 111 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GamerLegion | 34c | 54.18$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…3bbebacked GamerLegion | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 384 | 52.1%200 W · 184 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bed…fd9cbacked GamerLegion | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 206 | 56.8%117 W · 89 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf0…e384backed paiN | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 331 | 53.5%177 W · 154 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked GamerLegion | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…7effbacked paiN | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed paiN | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.