CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2ba1c2c7ae44aa3b3755ec744667e1fa3ea768f80ff3f77ed41c67370579eeb1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Under | 53c | 1,691$904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$903.88 | 5,028 | 55%2,763 W · 2,265 L | +112.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 47c | 1,041$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Over | 48c | 520.83$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.83 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54a6…7401backed Under | 52c | 510.83$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265.63 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Over | 46c | 499.99$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.99 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 46c | 308.27$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.47 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed Under | 50c | 284$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x642c…21a7backed Over | 50c | 284$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 202 | 51%103 W · 99 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc882…0662backed Over | 52c | 248.86$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.9 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 52c | 192.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 53c | 178.65$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 2,610 | 51.7%1,349 W · 1,261 L | +16.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Over | 45c | 135.89$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.74 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed Over | 48c | 114.58$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.58 | 500 | 50.6%253 W · 247 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x163c…8868backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Under | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.99 | 347 | 42.9%149 W · 198 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Over | 49c | 79.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.72 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Over | 63c | 77.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.92 | 1,360 | 66.3%901 W · 459 L | +75.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Under | 53c | 65.03$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.46 | 1,998 | 53.7%1,073 W · 925 L | +5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Under | 53c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.45 | 199 | 54.8%109 W · 90 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 41c | 56.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.96 | 4,220 | 49.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L | +61.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc92d…9691backed Under | 52c | 47.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -19%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…a34abacked Over | 56c | 44.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.34 | 264 | 43.2%114 W · 150 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf17a…e44dbacked Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…4103backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 51c | 42.39$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.67 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0b…12ffbacked Over | 47c | 33.64$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 101 | 49.5%50 W · 51 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4769…4d14backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf88b…0ed2backed Under | 48c | 29.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 233 | 54.5%127 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…bb69backed Under | 51c | 25.49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 65cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta PlayoffsGamerLegion won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 1 WinnerpaiN won
- Counter-Strike: paiN vs GamerLegion - Map 2 WinnerGamerLegion won
- Map Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)paiN won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.