Euroleague · resolved market
Unicaja vs. Valencia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb74c13873e68c978d5273c50de1d42edd6900a9f75331d41394b89a4ef801313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Valenciaof Unicaja, Valencia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,275
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,823
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,275 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Unicaja | 30c | 2,740$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815.44 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Valencia | 62c | 2,030$1,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.92 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Unicaja | 49c | 797.56$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.67 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Valencia | 56c | 556.15$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.01 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Valencia | 54c | 328.91$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.15 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Unicaja | 22c | 250.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.96 | 215 | 35.8%77 W · 138 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Unicaja | 50c | 132.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 289 | 43.6%126 W · 163 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Valencia | 79c | 115.75$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Valencia | 55c | 109.79$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Unicaja | 37c | 105.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.56 | 64 | 70.3%45 W · 19 L | +11.5wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Unicaja | 48c | 99.98$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Unicaja | 52c | 90$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Unicaja | 45c | 86.12$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.68 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Unicaja | 45c | 82.84$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.28 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Unicaja | 16c | 63.24$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x296f…dd54backed Unicaja | 41c | 61.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Valencia | 51c | 60.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.44 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia | 49c | 41.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.56 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Valencia | 61c | 39.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Unicaja | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked Valencia | 56c | 25.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Unicaja | 51c | 24.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.64 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.