CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Heroic (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb75f983305cd1bf28a6b8dd040c9dfface7e0fa292a5e6878cd7ba4588afccd8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liquidof Liquid, Heroic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $148,224
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,242
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $148,224 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Heroic | 41c | 130,374$53,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,136.53 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Liquid | 59c | 49,500$29,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,065 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Liquid | 59c | 31,903$18,846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,057.1 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd8…2ee5backed Liquid | 59c | 22,111$13,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,092.33 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +6.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Liquid | 59c | 20,500$12,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,405 | 258 | 42.2%109 W · 149 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed Liquid | 60c | 5,799$3,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,319.79 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98b1…d855backed Heroic | 25c | 3,268$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.9 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Heroic | 42c | 2,867$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200.11 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Liquid | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.73 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Liquid | 62c | 1,363$844 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.63 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2418…66c8backed Liquid | 70c | 1,340$937 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.99 | 608 | 53.3%324 W · 284 L | +20.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Heroic | 28c | 1,120$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.2 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed Liquid | 71c | 1,023$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.67 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Liquid | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Heroic | 37c | 999.99$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 121 | 45.5%55 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed Heroic | 30c | 890.48$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Liquid | 80c | 871.5$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.3 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | -19.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Liquid | 77c | 816.68$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.09 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Heroic | 40c | 600$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 220 | 56.4%124 W · 96 L | +19.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Liquid | 59c | 523$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Heroic | 41c | 512.33$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.02 | 972 | 30%292 W · 680 L | -23.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed Liquid | 59c | 508.47$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.47 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5fa…2afebacked Liquid | 59c | 472.98$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.92 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +4.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Liquid | 75c | 397.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.48 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.6wins | +0.24per pick | 60cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Heroic | 40c | 341$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed Liquid | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Liquid | 60c | 309.01$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.15 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Heroic | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 110 | 30.9%34 W · 76 L | -11.3wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Liquid | 72c | 219.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.06 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa264…e26abacked Heroic | 41c | 211.5$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.72 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed Liquid | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Liquid | 58c | 145.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.08 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Heroic | 20c | 140$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Liquid | 59c | 110$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.1 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…5c4abacked Liquid | 63c | 95.24$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.24 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd41…5afebacked Liquid | 62c | 87.22$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Heroic | 20c | 70.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Heroic | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…2518backed Liquid | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed Liquid | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9978…aaaebacked Liquid | 59c | 36.95$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd612…0bc1backed Liquid | 62c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 115 | 65.2%75 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Liquid | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.