CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7a3631c4a06b09cce798f03f7fe6838adf48647e61bcdeeee11dd2c5f5f9e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bebopof HyperSpirit, Bebop
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,379
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed HyperSpirit | 0c | 7,330$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 2,101$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,071.71 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Bebop | 49c | 1,143$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.86 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HyperSpirit | 49c | 559.94$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.15 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed Bebop | 49c | 542.14$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.49 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bebop | 58c | 270$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.74 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Bebop | 49c | 244.9$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.9 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Bebop | 61c | 240.55$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.24 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Bebop | 48c | 207.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.55 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 150$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.39 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Bebop | 49c | 127$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.77 | 246 | 41.9%103 W · 143 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bebop | 45c | 126.08$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.34 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed HyperSpirit | 40c | 125$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Bebop | 64c | 122.68$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed HyperSpirit | 29c | 119.71$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.31 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Bebop | 54c | 108$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.54 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x575f…7febbacked Bebop | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.23per pick | 37cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…fa1dbacked Bebop | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e08…3c69backed Bebop | 48c | 62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a1…ab45backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 59.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f9…bff5backed Bebop | 52c | 56.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.11 | 260 | 46.9%122 W · 138 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Bebop | 68c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.87 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HyperSpirit | 38c | 47.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Bebop | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked HyperSpirit | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed Bebop | 54c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.73 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Bebop | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Bebop | 50c | 32.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8835…472cbacked Bebop | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…3550backed Bebop | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #16 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs Bebop - Map 1 WinnerBebop won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.