Tennis · resolved market
Hangzhou Open: Nishesh Basavareddy vs Daniil Medvedev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7c035b632f78a171f983f251c2b977ac076b98d0f5cdeec2955063df38c40f0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Medvedevof Basavareddy, Medvedev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,770
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa82a…a759backed Medvedev | 68c | 960.26$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.37 | 339 | 55.2%187 W · 152 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Basavareddy | 32c | 799.88$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.96 | 296 | 34.1%101 W · 195 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed Basavareddy | 30c | 599.99$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 157 | 24.8%39 W · 118 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Medvedev | 70c | 449.56$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.87 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…082abacked Medvedev | 70c | 427.29$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.19 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Basavareddy | 29c | 387.76$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.45 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Basavareddy | 30c | 353.62$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.72 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Basavareddy | 12c | 170$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.6 | 132 | 45.5%60 W · 72 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Medvedev | 70c | 161.6$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.48 | 296 | 36.8%109 W · 187 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Medvedev | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 480 | 43.3%208 W · 272 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Medvedev | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 639 | 42.4%271 W · 368 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Basavareddy | 30c | 131.99$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.25 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3823…2784backed Medvedev | 71c | 106.07$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.76 | 321 | 61.7%198 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Basavareddy | 31c | 99.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 85 | 22.4%19 W · 66 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Basavareddy | 30c | 92.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Medvedev | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731b…bdcabacked Medvedev | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Medvedev | 72c | 70$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 629 | 52.1%328 W · 301 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Basavareddy | 30c | 69.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Basavareddy | 29c | 60.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Basavareddy | 28c | 50$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dce…38ecbacked Medvedev | 71c | 36.62$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.62 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec2c…1b20backed Medvedev | 70c | 31.43$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 39 | 61.5%24 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Medvedev | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.