Tennis · resolved market
Gwangju: Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkate
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d2d22c0b62eae3fef18d2b2146feb914bf70a0b42d9f01382ecf46ff2fc336
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tristan Schoolkateof Hayato Matsuoka, Tristan Schoolkate
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,316
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,590
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,316 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 21,947$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,075.06 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 7c | 4,042$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 14c | 3,792$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.27 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Tristan Schoolkate | 77c | 3,100$2,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.09 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Hayato Matsuoka | 5c | 2,282$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.09 | 1,444 | 38%548 W · 896 L | -46.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 2,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 587 | 34.6%203 W · 384 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 1,062$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.37 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7c…51b6backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 916$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.28 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 668.95$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.75 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +18.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Hayato Matsuoka | 31c | 585.89$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.63 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 13c | 498.92$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.35 | 380 | 13.9%53 W · 327 L | -38.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 440.32$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.72 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 383.92$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.69 | 852 | 50%426 W · 426 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Hayato Matsuoka | 16c | 307.22$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…f64abacked Tristan Schoolkate | 68c | 288.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.41 | 849 | 63.1%536 W · 313 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Hayato Matsuoka | 5c | 287.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 221 | 13.6%30 W · 191 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x500e…6118backed Tristan Schoolkate | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 239 | 65.3%156 W · 83 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Tristan Schoolkate | 79c | 277.22$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.22 | 1,923 | 55.4%1,066 W · 857 L | -44.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Hayato Matsuoka | 18c | 257.91$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 231.99$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 28c | 220.24$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.86 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 9c | 214.91$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Hayato Matsuoka | 7c | 195.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Hayato Matsuoka | 16c | 169.28$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.29 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hayato Matsuoka | 11c | 163.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d30…89ccbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 174 | 50%87 W · 87 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c4…e6a5backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 259 | 57.1%148 W · 111 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d3…aafbbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 10c | 139.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 129.06$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.3 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Hayato Matsuoka | 21c | 90.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc953…01bfbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 83.92$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Tristan Schoolkate | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…d2b5backed Tristan Schoolkate | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 416 | 68%283 W · 133 L | +23.6wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ac6…e020backed Tristan Schoolkate | 69c | 68.7$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 347 | 61.1%212 W · 135 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 68.61$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 138 | 47.8%66 W · 72 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf182…112bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 66.4$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.91 | 301 | 50.2%151 W · 150 L | -15.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6442…d68bbacked Hayato Matsuoka | 33c | 55.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 151 | 46.4%70 W · 81 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x164d…50c0backed Tristan Schoolkate | 73c | 53.88$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.55 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…ba55backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 257 | 45.9%118 W · 139 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Hayato Matsuoka | 32c | 39.12$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.52 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f7b…e99bbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 68c | 35.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01b8…3480backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 33.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b38…a036backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 32.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.74 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x305b…cd21backed Tristan Schoolkate | 69c | 28.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.82 | 550 | 59.1%325 W · 225 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc919…c413backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 25.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 22.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91d5…5a73backed Tristan Schoolkate | 67c | 20.58$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.79 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6b3…5821backed Tristan Schoolkate | 69c | 17.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.29 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Tristan Schoolkate | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gwangju: Hayato Matsuoka vs Tristan Schoolkatethis page
- Set 1 Winner: Matsuoka vs SchoolkateSchoolkate won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.