Tennis · resolved market
ITF Santa Fe: Kate Fakih vs Tatum Evans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d81de783d1e772950bfcfd95003531ee1f1afb732bdf587587e6aa9f3f885b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kate Fakihof Kate Fakih, Tatum Evans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,151
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,151 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kate Fakih | 51c | 4,841$2,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,352.55 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kate Fakih | 66c | 3,361$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,156.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Tatum Evans | 35c | 3,019$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,051.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Tatum Evans | 54c | 2,406$1,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,307.5 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Tatum Evans | 35c | 680.49$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.5 | 289 | 33.2%96 W · 193 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Tatum Evans | 46c | 237.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.3 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Tatum Evans | 54c | 209.62$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Tatum Evans | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Tatum Evans | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Tatum Evans | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Tatum Evans | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Kate Fakih | 73c | 140$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Tatum Evans | 63c | 139.68$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Tatum Evans | 40c | 132.5$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Tatum Evans | 40c | 112.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Tatum Evans | 40c | 107.5$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Kate Fakih | 33c | 102.93$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.96 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Tatum Evans | 67c | 102.93$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.96 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Kate Fakih | 42c | 98.89$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.76 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Tatum Evans | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Tatum Evans | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Tatum Evans | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Kate Fakih | 43c | 73.6$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.8 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc11d…0123backed Tatum Evans | 53c | 72.38$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.36 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -5.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Tatum Evans | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…fd02backed Tatum Evans | 29c | 69.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Kate Fakih | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Tatum Evans | 57c | 57.89$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Tatum Evans | 50c | 55.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…f6a0backed Tatum Evans | 50c | 55.34$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Tatum Evans | 38c | 51.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kate Fakih | 34c | 50.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.52 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Tatum Evans | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Tatum Evans | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Kate Fakih | 50c | 46.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Tatum Evans | 61c | 45.35$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.78 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Tatum Evans | 62c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.6 | 1,831 | 53%971 W · 860 L | -45.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Tatum Evans | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Kate Fakih | 55c | 34.2$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.44 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Tatum Evans | 66c | 34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Tatum Evans | 52c | 32$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.64 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Kate Fakih | 50c | 27.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff0…0a65backed Tatum Evans | 40c | 25.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Tatum Evans | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 269 | 55%148 W · 121 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Tatum Evans | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Tatum Evans | 65c | 21.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 1,103 | 52.9%583 W · 520 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Tatum Evans | 66c | 19.89$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.