Cricket · resolved market
T20 Blast: Somerset vs Hampshire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8809281b3e2bb164d01df5c2f4740c03a6bb782cf9e22e698790e7609f3ab3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Somersetof Somerset, Hampshire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,850
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,850 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Hampshire | 20c | 9,985$1,985 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,984.53 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Somerset | 58c | 2,310$1,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.2 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…12c0backed Hampshire | 3c | 1,278$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x257c…75ffbacked Hampshire | 3c | 1,214$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Hampshire | 1c | 757.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Somerset | 61c | 400$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Somerset | 63c | 391.65$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.31 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Somerset | 70c | 286.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.57 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbad4…f62bbacked Hampshire | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Hampshire | 41c | 241.86$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hampshire | 32c | 206$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Hampshire | 39c | 165$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Somerset | 59c | 102.81$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.15 | 174 | 59.8%104 W · 70 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Somerset | 62c | 80.92$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Hampshire | 23c | 72.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Somerset | 57c | 69.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.82 | 93 | 51.6%48 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f7a…0f82backed Hampshire | 38c | 64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Hampshire | 37c | 60.47$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Hampshire | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x618c…28f3backed Somerset | 59c | 44.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Hampshire | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Hampshire | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Somerset | 52c | 28.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.73 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29ef…7dfbbacked Hampshire | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Somerset | 58c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 28 | 64.3%18 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce2…d48cbacked Hampshire | 48c | 22.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 187 | 45.5%85 W · 102 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- T20 Blast: Somerset vs Hampshirethis page
- T20 Blast: Somerset vs Hampshire - Completed match?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.