Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: RED Canids vs. paiN Gaming
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb892592005ea3596fd64387b34d4aed3888b3983be6bb1ed70c9bc2cafd37e16
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- paiN Gamingof RED Canids, paiN Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,047
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,566
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,047 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4e94…6243backed RED Canids | 33c | 2,573$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.28 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd773…549ebacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 1,397$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$497.16 | 75 | 57.3%43 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed RED Canids | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfee3…58b2backed paiN Gaming | 71c | 835$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.15 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d0a…0809backed RED Canids | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 538 | 29.4%158 W · 380 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e25…d7a7backed paiN Gaming | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…e969backed paiN Gaming | 58c | 189.66$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.66 | 1,241 | 52.7%654 W · 587 L | +5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…a916backed paiN Gaming | 64c | 139.72$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked RED Canids | 31c | 138.31$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.01 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked RED Canids | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.95 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0d…59d0backed RED Canids | 42c | 95.48$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked paiN Gaming | 64c | 95$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e77…cb47backed paiN Gaming | 78c | 90.91$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcf…a26ebacked RED Canids | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa1…c02dbacked paiN Gaming | 67c | 62.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e64…7308backed RED Canids | 33c | 49.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked paiN Gaming | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 228 | 58.3%133 W · 95 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.