Europa Conference League · resolved market
Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb892cd900db8057d66d87bbe6f61c00f4acea99ae40d42c51d403fcc11e3402c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HNK Hajduk Splitof HNK Hajduk Split, FK Žalgiris Vilnius
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,855
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,853
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,855 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 56c | 1,227$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.38 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed HNK Hajduk Split | 46c | 1,111$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.1 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379a…5122backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 50c | 414$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f5…ea34backed HNK Hajduk Split | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 49c | 289.35$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.78 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HNK Hajduk Split | 30c | 174.34$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.04 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 50c | 129.48$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.18 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed HNK Hajduk Split | 49c | 95.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.57 | 655 | 35.6%233 W · 422 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 63c | 75.06$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 814 | 40.5%330 W · 484 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0aba…f104backed HNK Hajduk Split | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…1ca6backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed HNK Hajduk Split | 50c | 37.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed HNK Hajduk Split | 48c | 35.42$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 103 | 44.7%46 W · 57 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed HNK Hajduk Split | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 180 | 56.7%102 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 218 | 40.4%88 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x434a…91cbbacked FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 54c | 25.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed FK Žalgiris Vilnius | 55c | 18.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-1.5)this page
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: FK Žalgiris Vilnius O/U 0.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: HNK Hajduk Split O/U 2.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 0.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 1.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 2.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 3.5Over won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 4.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: O/U 5.5Under won
- HNK Hajduk Split vs. FK Žalgiris Vilnius: Team to AdvanceHNK Hajduk Split won
- Spread: HNK Hajduk Split (-2.5)HNK Hajduk Split won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.