Tennis · resolved market
Francavilla: Martin Krumich vs Clement Chidekh
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8b5c3c391524a799e4a2a91993a62cb1895a089aa2815976d046f08296e5335
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Martin Krumichof Martin Krumich, Clement Chidekh
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Martin Krumich | 61c | 1,727$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.68 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Clement Chidekh | 40c | 1,074$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.4 | 543 | 45.3%246 W · 297 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Clement Chidekh | 34c | 546.63$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.15 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Clement Chidekh | 9c | 363.78$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.41 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Clement Chidekh | 31c | 163$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Clement Chidekh | 23c | 154$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Clement Chidekh | 10c | 126.21$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.65 | 2,523 | 39.6%1,000 W · 1,523 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Clement Chidekh | 18c | 124.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Clement Chidekh | 13c | 106.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.08 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Clement Chidekh | 36c | 104.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed Clement Chidekh | 41c | 100.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.07 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Clement Chidekh | 35c | 99.57$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 659 | 49.3%325 W · 334 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb594…c1a0backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 98.9$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.63 | 77 | 68.8%53 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 74.78$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.32 | 1,276 | 61%778 W · 498 L | +27.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Martin Krumich | 78c | 62$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.64 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Clement Chidekh | 32c | 58.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.82 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Martin Krumich | 68c | 58.82$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Clement Chidekh | 20c | 58.79$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Martin Krumich | 74c | 53.22$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Martin Krumich | 67c | 52.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.23 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Martin Krumich | 66c | 45.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…2a0cbacked Martin Krumich | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c3e5backed Clement Chidekh | 33c | 31.05$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 1,076 | 55.5%597 W · 479 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31dd…7159backed Clement Chidekh | 37c | 27.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 903 | 40.2%363 W · 540 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82a5…674ebacked Martin Krumich | 61c | 26.3$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 328 | 53%174 W · 154 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87dc…a465backed Martin Krumich | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Martin Krumich | 66c | 23.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.92 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Martin Krumich | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 540 | 50.4%272 W · 268 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Martin Krumich | 63c | 15.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.88 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.