CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8fd007eca06f6837d14496aa29fb69df208a2657240d7fcedbcc420753c9732
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof ex-RUBY, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,473
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,473 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5407…251cbacked ex-RUBY | 55c | 1,700$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.99 | 148 | 57.4%85 W · 63 L | +11.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked The Last Resort | 50c | 734.09$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.48 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 37c | 606.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.67 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed The Last Resort | 45c | 545.96$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.28 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed The Last Resort | 53c | 395.01$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.86 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed The Last Resort | 57c | 360.5$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.02 | 204 | 40.7%83 W · 121 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked The Last Resort | 44c | 343.63$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.07 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 61c | 252.17$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 205.08$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked ex-RUBY | 59c | 170$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.3 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1349…dc1fbacked ex-RUBY | 57c | 122.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed ex-RUBY | 27c | 120$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 2,474 | 24.7%611 W · 1,863 L | -316.9wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfc38…c3b4backed The Last Resort | 32c | 100.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 339 | 50.7%172 W · 167 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ex-RUBY | 57c | 83$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.31 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed ex-RUBY | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-RUBY | 36c | 77.59$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 62$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 452 | 24.3%110 W · 342 L | -52.4wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed ex-RUBY | 45c | 60$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked ex-RUBY | 44c | 49.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 49.4$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.83 | 579 | 35.1%203 W · 376 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…a069backed The Last Resort | 45c | 42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ex-RUBY | 28c | 36$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f5…7a95backed The Last Resort | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | -14.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked The Last Resort | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 459 | 56.9%261 W · 198 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 1 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)The Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.