CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf1f0cee259b7b022fc98a94a4ef2d9c94c33bcc1ca979af669099b9cfb525a62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- The Last Resortof ex-RUBY, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,547
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,547 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf872…f7ffbacked ex-RUBY | 1c | 1,799$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +60.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed ex-RUBY | 44c | 604.88$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.28 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed ex-RUBY | 69c | 500$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e0…ac15backed The Last Resort | 30c | 500$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…81f2backed The Last Resort | 30c | 400$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…62aabacked ex-RUBY | 69c | 400$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked ex-RUBY | 74c | 176.03$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.59 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0c…d43abacked The Last Resort | 25c | 161.75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.31 | 464 | 47.6%221 W · 243 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 52c | 137.98$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed The Last Resort | 42c | 126.88$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked The Last Resort | 66c | 98$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked The Last Resort | 56c | 86.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.18 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked The Last Resort | 55c | 74.36$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed The Last Resort | 55c | 74.35$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.46 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked The Last Resort | 75c | 64.92$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked The Last Resort | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 55c | 25.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.48 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group StageThe Last Resort won
- Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerThe Last Resort won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: ex-RUBY (-1.5) vs The Last Resort (+1.5)The Last Resort won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.