Champions League · resolved market
Will Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb90fdec92895ec53f02e03007f3dc9f9683cc9ff0309d02a5c5f7ec203e2b8c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,017
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63eb…d9f8backed Yes | 65c | 15,891$10,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,305 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 35c | 14,855$5,199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,655.59 | 368 | 51.1%188 W · 180 L | +15.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 15c | 2,263$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.63 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 14c | 1,429$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +583.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 17c | 1,195$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe90…380dbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…022bbacked Yes | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d6…0062backed Yes | 50c | 198.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…eef6backed Yes | 18c | 165.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 46c | 130.78$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…c74dbacked Yes | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…1f02backed Yes | 52c | 115.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10f4…3b7ebacked Yes | 18c | 85.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 66 | 43.9%29 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…d0a3backed No | 35c | 75.85$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.3 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked No | 80c | 62.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 307 | 54.1%166 W · 141 L | +11.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x653c…a02abacked Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…136bbacked No | 58c | 49.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 58cpaid | +305.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c0…21febacked Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 217 | 44.7%97 W · 120 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf817…80ccbacked Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?this page
- Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?Yes won
- Will Boca Juniors beat Bayern Munich?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.