Champions League · resolved market
Will Boca Juniors beat Bayern Munich?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7d03a580ce840641c8d9f8d589b841f7171ae5c8c3b61a5d79f3ae9c7ca09b9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,545
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,030
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,545 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 4,435$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.24 | 389 | 35.2%137 W · 252 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca0…140ebacked Yes | 10c | 3,542$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c45…9351backed Yes | 9c | 3,365$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Yes | 8c | 2,894$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.55 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 10c | 2,013$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.17 | 402 | 22.9%92 W · 310 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf3…2b57backed Yes | 9c | 546.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 10c | 516.31$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfde…4006backed Yes | 8c | 500$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc30e…db78backed Yes | 15c | 469.8$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 8c | 410.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46a6…8c21backed Yes | 8c | 400$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 133 | 33.1%44 W · 89 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed Yes | 9c | 400$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 62 | 25.8%16 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x975e…0fe6backed Yes | 6c | 400$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd4…600fbacked Yes | 11c | 375.73$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20e2…6bb2backed Yes | 10c | 338.7$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.87 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe546…4c66backed Yes | 11c | 263.64$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…915bbacked Yes | 10c | 253.33$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2515…a008backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f93…e313backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…8e24backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +583.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf4…9d25backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb686…9130backed Yes | 13c | 191.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad75…df71backed Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…05b2backed Yes | 11c | 176.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd18…a458backed Yes | 16c | 125.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd469…6255backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44e…eef6backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3095…8e0ebacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 29.3%17 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Boca Juniors beat Bayern Munich?this page
- Will Bayern Munich beat Boca Juniors?Yes won
- Will Bayern Munich vs. Boca Juniors end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.