TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Lille OSC win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$121,082
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$127,438

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $121,082 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 94 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes71c55,500$39,314 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,185.82356.5%13 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No29c53,047$15,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,381.0721560%129 W · 86 L+15.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c57…c94dbacked Yes71c35,653$25,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,357.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No29c10,776$3,079 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,079.0210752.3%56 W · 51 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-4.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No29c8,261$2,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,401.7713050.8%66 W · 64 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No29c6,451$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,861.7914452.1%75 W · 69 L+6.8wins+0.05per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No30c5,305$1,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,591.1523151.5%119 W · 112 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes65c3,000$1,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0501533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-31.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No24c2,743$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$662.288242.7%35 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked No29c2,558$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.286842.6%29 W · 39 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7865…4af9backed No28c2,216$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.994030%12 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No29c1,549$449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.2819055.8%106 W · 84 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes77c1,500$1,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3459140.7%37 W · 54 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked No29c1,500$435 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4352941.4%12 W · 17 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6834…c8d3backed No23c1,478$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.92540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+100.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb195…6f85backed Yes71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-38.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes73c1,352$989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.871,41540.8%577 W · 838 L+13.5wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20da…e704backed No8c1,202$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001421.4%3 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-36%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No28c1,022$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.831,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3006835.3%24 W · 44 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick26cpaid+29.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes72c903$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.63828.9%11 W · 27 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-30.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37ef…56f2backed Yes72c864$626 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.632867.9%19 W · 9 L+4.7wins+0.17per pick51cpaid+37.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x694e…8d20backed Yes70c824.99$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$250.93540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick59cpaid-39.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Yes76c671$509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.1623153.2%123 W · 108 L+16.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No29c600$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1747549.3%37 W · 38 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb75e…1737backed No20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed No38c418.51$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.5435157%200 W · 151 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No29c404$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.1623260.8%141 W · 91 L+15.1wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10014340.6%58 W · 85 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid+7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes72c319$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.3212050.8%61 W · 59 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$907146.5%33 W · 38 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+14.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ee7…12c5backed No36c250$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-35.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed Yes74c172.92$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.965736.8%21 W · 36 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x823c…524dbacked Yes70c161.43$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No30c151$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7920860.6%126 W · 82 L+12.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+11.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3613016.2%21 W · 109 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-17.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x60ee…a5acbacked Yes67c149.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No30c147.27$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5833938.1%129 W · 210 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3623…b50dbacked Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick59cpaid-21%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d94…5d78backed Yes74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.14633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcfe…d420backed No30c133.35$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401376.9%10 W · 3 L+3.6wins+0.27per pick49cpaid+51.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x931f…d15dbacked Yes75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.331100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No8c126.87$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4526040.4%105 W · 155 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-33.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.36836.8%25 W · 43 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x45fe…da9cbacked Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-25.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+44.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-49.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes71c84$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.362425%6 W · 18 L-5.7wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-55.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No31c79.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.173348.5%16 W · 17 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes75c78.61$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.5926845.9%123 W · 145 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes73c76$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.63250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d83…ac87backed Yes75c75.47$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b2c…5e10backed Yes70c71.43$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.43650%3 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes72c70$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.66529.2%19 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4394…4582backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick78cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes57c61.4$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No26c57.54$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.895162.7%32 W · 19 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4114…b9acbacked Yes74c54.82$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.25944.4%4 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+58%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x46af…cd69backed Yes77c51.95$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.951442.9%6 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.799355.9%52 W · 41 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+17.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No29c51$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.799954.5%54 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed Yes55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.53743.2%16 W · 21 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+12.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked Yes72c50$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145100%5 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+99.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x00e4…7413backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No29c49.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.524562.2%28 W · 17 L+5.9wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+33%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf8…cb04backed Yes77c45.45$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.452740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes71c42.25$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.252060%12 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea9…7f33backed Yes69c40.58$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.58966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick62cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa83…537bbacked Yes76c40$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-25.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x196b…046ebacked Yes77c38.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.96837.5%3 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick64cpaid-43.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb524…0808backed Yes72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.722065%13 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb91…f766backed Yes75c33.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.331266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick62cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb1d…a925backed Yes73c32.21$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.73148.4%15 W · 16 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No41c31.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.076743.3%29 W · 38 L-4.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed No43c30.56$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5903…bc30backed Yes72c30.56$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.561464.3%9 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6ad…3f8ebacked Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6742…ce78backed Yes76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick72cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x02aa…9c2abacked Yes70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573759.5%22 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bae…5c82backed Yes72c27.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.781353.8%7 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0e8…a236backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-33.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xce2e…c77bbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671957.9%11 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2664…53f8backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671650%8 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe8f…3186backed Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick63cpaid-29.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9160…5bfebacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.642462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc394…121bbacked Yes74c21.61$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.611100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2341…618fbacked Yes71c21.13$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.13955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-15.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c6…5034backed Yes70c20$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1b1…7d09backed Yes72c16.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.67250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-30.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x666f…cc23backed Yes67c15$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.951100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes75c13.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.43151.6%16 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-15.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.