Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $90 May 18-24?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93c0324563556bfdba40e8b15f529364de12bca10aa1e085b289410fe306ed1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,013
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,562
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,013 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 66c | 5,634$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,902.38 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 37c | 4,661$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719.42 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf82…17febacked Yes | 2c | 1,533$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.67 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,030$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.17 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc60b…d9f7backed Yes | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 4c | 775$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 12c | 557.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a8…3d3dbacked No | 62c | 204.84$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.84 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ac…806ebacked Yes | 42c | 199.97$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.33 | 84 | 70.2%59 W · 25 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba15…7579backed No | 77c | 199.59$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9785…2c5abacked Yes | 31c | 110$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.1 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e3…c9d0backed Yes | 58c | 104.91$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.85 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 51c | 91.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.81 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…6a9abacked No | 60c | 47.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed No | 65c | 38.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.26 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24a6…0e2dbacked No | 68c | 36$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b54…76eabacked No | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 46c | 22.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 73c | 21.37$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $90 May 18-24?this page
- Will Solana dip to $60 May 18-24?No won
- Will Solana dip to $70 May 18-24?No won
- Will Solana reach $100 May 18-24?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.