Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb991f352eb754182cb1438da86053053f30bc8055982202cadc7181fd5eaa738
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CTBC Flying Oysterof CTBC Flying Oyster, MVK Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,354
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,354
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,354 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 13 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6e32…ab65backed MVK Esports | 64c | 976.63$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.29 | 2,178 | 53.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L | +61.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2316…9819backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 35c | 399.27$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.23 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 351 | 49.3%173 W · 178 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 236.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.84 | 2,984 | 44.5%1,329 W · 1,655 L | -94.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12d3…42e4backed MVK Esports | 63c | 191.17$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 266 | 41%109 W · 157 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed MVK Esports | 62c | 151.02$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.19 | 1,616 | 43.8%708 W · 908 L | -74.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 107.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.35 | 435 | 43.2%188 W · 247 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 609 | 43.2%263 W · 346 L | -12.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 1,343 | 49%658 W · 685 L | -26.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 39.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 168 | 41.7%70 W · 98 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked CTBC Flying Oyster | 38c | 27.43$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 123 | 35.8%44 W · 79 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c09…5badbacked MVK Esports | 64c | 19.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 139 | 63.3%88 W · 51 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +19%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: CFO (-1.5) vs MVK Esports (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports (BO5) - LCP PlayoffsCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 1 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 2 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
- LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs MVK Esports - Game 3 WinnerCTBC Flying Oyster won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.