CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9e79346a9f420ad7bb0d3d6ee0adc8063ba469a7f11fe5c5a239a532cc77569
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of FUT Esports, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,425
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,425 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed M80 | 57c | 3,930$2,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.46 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed FUT Esports | 41c | 1,207$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M80 | 59c | 933.22$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.5 | 1,723 | 46.8%807 W · 916 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked FUT Esports | 43c | 900$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FUT Esports | 41c | 755.78$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.52 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc76…3af1backed FUT Esports | 41c | 563.27$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.94 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfe…d83fbacked M80 | 67c | 501.82$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.18 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0f…3d46backed FUT Esports | 43c | 465.12$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked M80 | 59c | 313.26$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.44 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed FUT Esports | 48c | 307.69$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.69 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked FUT Esports | 39c | 232$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked M80 | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 134 | 51.5%69 W · 65 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked FUT Esports | 41c | 156.24$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 65c | 155.78$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed FUT Esports | 43c | 125.58$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa02b…70d6backed M80 | 61c | 115.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.94 | 178 | 57.3%102 W · 76 L | +27.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +47%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed FUT Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40ba…7ea5backed FUT Esports | 43c | 100$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 420 | 57.6%242 W · 178 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed FUT Esports | 41c | 73.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x086a…0855backed M80 | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…db9dbacked M80 | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc2…64d1backed FUT Esports | 36c | 56.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 209 | 42.1%88 W · 121 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed FUT Esports | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerFUT Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.