CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d5726975c130a4b849cd0257cc950d76efffb9f448816f78e9c5c521fbebb35
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FUT Esportsof FUT Esports, M80
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $49,338
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,713
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $49,338 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 75 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x21ec…5348backed M80 | 27c | 11,242$3,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,047.7 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c0…692bbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 8,880$6,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,397.73 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b63…4acdbacked M80 | 27c | 3,704$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.08 | 139 | 52.5%73 W · 66 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed M80 | 0c | 3,271$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed FUT Esports | 73c | 2,928$2,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.53 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked M80 | 28c | 2,808$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.03 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked M80 | 26c | 1,963$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.77 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x084b…3de6backed M80 | 17c | 1,781$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.76 | 245 | 50.2%123 W · 122 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed M80 | 10c | 1,694$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.65 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed FUT Esports | 73c | 1,500$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.74 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0785…81c3backed FUT Esports | 75c | 1,067$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.17 | 159 | 70.4%112 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed M80 | 27c | 1,027$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.67 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9b…6df8backed FUT Esports | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 558 | 45.7%255 W · 303 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked M80 | 35c | 999.94$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.98 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a83…497dbacked M80 | 4c | 928.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -50%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…0852backed FUT Esports | 73c | 872.85$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.67 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x207f…019dbacked M80 | 19c | 864.3$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.86 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.20per pick | 30cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked FUT Esports | 71c | 786$556 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.4 | 601 | 47.4%285 W · 316 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…16acbacked M80 | 28c | 765.17$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.25 | 170 | 42.9%73 W · 97 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked M80 | 4c | 733.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked FUT Esports | 73c | 720.17$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.89 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed FUT Esports | 73c | 685$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 183 | 47.5%87 W · 96 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked M80 | 27c | 657.32$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.19 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed M80 | 29c | 641.04$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.9 | 534 | 44.9%240 W · 294 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…34d7backed FUT Esports | 78c | 637.75$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.75 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…f573backed FUT Esports | 73c | 548.33$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.05 | 341 | 46.6%159 W · 182 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 524.03$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.41 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae1…befbbacked M80 | 27c | 499.99$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 409 | 50.6%207 W · 202 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked FUT Esports | 67c | 499.83$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.63 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ae…af00backed FUT Esports | 70c | 459.48$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.84 | 264 | 51.5%136 W · 128 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ad…be4ebacked FUT Esports | 73c | 430$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 256 | 51.2%131 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed M80 | 34c | 400$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 328 | 45.1%148 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked M80 | 27c | 313.45$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.63 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed M80 | 17c | 298$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 296$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.27 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked FUT Esports | 72c | 293$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.55 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec0e…672cbacked FUT Esports | 75c | 268$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.17 | 477 | 38.4%183 W · 294 L | -26.7wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed FUT Esports | 71c | 250$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.5 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FUT Esports | 75c | 250$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.9 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1669…1363backed M80 | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed M80 | 28c | 215.11$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.96 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1c…fc18backed FUT Esports | 74c | 200$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1698…68e8backed FUT Esports | 65c | 200$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 114 | 70.2%80 W · 34 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +10%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…4332backed FUT Esports | 72c | 181.94$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 176 | 44.3%78 W · 98 L | -17.8wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed M80 | 23c | 173.71$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.23 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf91…5010backed FUT Esports | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7753…73cebacked FUT Esports | 72c | 137.17$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.41 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…3627backed FUT Esports | 74c | 135.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd4…b3a8backed M80 | 12c | 133.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc086…8128backed M80 | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 147 | 48.3%71 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked M80 | 29c | 123.26$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.74 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf4…8c98backed FUT Esports | 73c | 117.81$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.87 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FUT Esports | 73c | 109$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.43 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked M80 | 17c | 100.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ec…f6e4backed M80 | 30c | 91.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.45 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed M80 | 29c | 88.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 193 | 42%81 W · 112 L | -12.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…ea83backed FUT Esports | 76c | 79.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 325 | 61.2%199 W · 126 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…fcfebacked FUT Esports | 74c | 78.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.33 | 149 | 71.8%107 W · 42 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked FUT Esports | 73c | 61.64$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked M80 | 33c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.47 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…e3ebbacked FUT Esports | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 101 | 63.4%64 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4a0…993dbacked M80 | 36c | 45.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.53 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked FUT Esports | 65c | 45.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f3a…7dcbbacked FUT Esports | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa886…822bbacked FUT Esports | 72c | 31.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.94 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed FUT Esports | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 80 | 66.3%53 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead6…b510backed FUT Esports | 73c | 30.14$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -7.0wins | -0.13per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1512…68f3backed FUT Esports | 71c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 291 | 53.6%156 W · 135 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8745…d220backed FUT Esports | 73c | 27.47$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | -5.0wins | -0.15per pick | 71cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xabc4…9307backed FUT Esports | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 107 | 66.4%71 W · 36 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FUT Esports | 75c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bbb…2948backed FUT Esports | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 170 | 70%119 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77da…9a99backed FUT Esports | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked FUT Esports | 73c | 16.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2d…6f44backed FUT Esports | 71c | 16.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1FUT Esports won
- Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerM80 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.