South American Leagues · resolved market
Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9f0f1754b2c5bbb7c81144e2202cdc8fd6f26cd974e9a585df1c3e95fa40e37
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Universidad Central de Venezuela FCof Club Libertad, Universidad Central de Venezuela FC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 62c | 1,425$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.94 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Club Libertad | 19c | 1,375$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.46 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 58c | 1,285$745 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.82 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Club Libertad | 38c | 1,206$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.61 | 218 | 44.5%97 W · 121 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Club Libertad | 42c | 865.19$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.38 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Club Libertad | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Club Libertad | 27c | 261.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 73c | 183$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.41 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Club Libertad | 40c | 174.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.2 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Club Libertad | 34c | 134$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.56 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0286…9648backed Club Libertad | 44c | 79.13$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 45cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Club Libertad | 42c | 73.81$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Club Libertad | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…3048backed Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 57c | 69.77$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Club Libertad | 39c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 416 | 54.3%226 W · 190 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Club Libertad | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2af7…37e2backed Club Libertad | 40c | 26.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x022d…afcbbacked Universidad Central de Venezuela FC | 64c | 23.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 74cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)this page
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Club Libertad won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Club Libertad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.