South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9056f402c5a8c18f32eece7d41b9a7ef6342810e55b563a7a871ca562f7de8e2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,761
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 3,630$1,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.4 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 40c | 1,454$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.21 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f7…0c5abacked Under | 54c | 1,208$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.52 | 107 | 41.1%44 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 1,170$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 56c | 899.5$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.97 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7066…50e5backed Over | 65c | 698.82$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.23 | 141 | 61%86 W · 55 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfff3…e2c5backed Under | 52c | 593.27$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.77 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Over | 49c | 500$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 47c | 400$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4871…0742backed Over | 60c | 400$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb026…9c7bbacked Under | 53c | 343$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c3…3e18backed Under | 30c | 165.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.59 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +6.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Over | 60c | 116.67$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd764…ae83backed Under | 52c | 115.38$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.38 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 53c | 107.27$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 74c | 96.15$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 21c | 95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.05 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Over | 53c | 82.21$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.57 | 91 | 48.4%44 W · 47 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Over | 79c | 66.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.74 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 64c | 58.7$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.57 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Over | 47c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.49 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 48.34$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.39 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 73c | 46.9$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 46c | 43.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 36c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.24 | 118 | 64.4%76 W · 42 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3799…b622backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 64c | 39.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 79c | 38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62f0…0171backed Over | 69c | 34.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 33c | 34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 52c | 33.22$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Under | 54c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 335 | 60.9%204 W · 131 L | +18.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 54c | 23.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Under | 63c | 20.07$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 209 | 58.4%122 W · 87 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 76c | 17.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Club Libertad won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Club Libertad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.