South American Leagues · resolved market
Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x176a4e49a6ddca3b960adc80087986f827b191cc845e90ec685820c5ea1b00ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,491
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,643
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,491 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 171 | 46.2%79 W · 92 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 50c | 3,395$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,697.5 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 77c | 2,174$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.09 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Under | 58c | 1,934$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Over | 12c | 1,599$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 33c | 1,420$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.77 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 80c | 1,253$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Under | 45c | 1,083$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.15 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed Over | 22c | 1,000$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 72c | 694.4$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.36 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a47…3b21backed Over | 55c | 609$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.95 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Over | 24c | 418.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 52.4%44 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +17%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 21c | 299.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.03 | 196 | 30.6%60 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 28c | 261.82$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 60c | 207.62$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.58 | 2,514 | 39%980 W · 1,534 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…6342backed Over | 58c | 202.74$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.21 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 54c | 176.06$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 1,443 | 45.9%662 W · 781 L | -22.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…dde5backed Over | 14c | 157.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 87 | 20.7%18 W · 69 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Over | 33c | 151.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 28c | 122$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.16 | 269 | 65.4%176 W · 93 L | +48.9wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 68+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Over | 56c | 113.73$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.19 | 235 | 49.4%116 W · 119 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 40c | 104.55$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.79 | 2,170 | 43.7%948 W · 1,222 L | -53.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 78c | 91.65$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.89 | 258 | 66.3%171 W · 87 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Under | 41c | 74.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.79 | 218 | 37.6%82 W · 136 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Over | 28c | 71.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 217 | 65.4%142 W · 75 L | +24.1wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Over | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 206 | 65%134 W · 72 L | +24.5wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 28c | 70.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.84 | 246 | 65.9%162 W · 84 L | +26.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over | 55c | 68.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…8f3bbacked Under | 52c | 67.46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef18…4d70backed Over | 28c | 60.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.88 | 313 | 55.6%174 W · 139 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9df2…99f5backed Over | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Over | 28c | 58.09$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 28c | 56.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 336 | 58.3%196 W · 140 L | +32.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 56c | 49.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 723 | 50.5%365 W · 358 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Over | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Under | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +35%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 42c | 33.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb435…b97cbacked Over | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 57c | 28.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 42c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 424 | 62.3%264 W · 160 L | +24.4wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Under | 52c | 22.75$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 167 | 59.9%100 W · 67 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Club Libertad vs. Universidad Central de Venezuela FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Club Libertad (-1.5)Universidad Central de Venezuela FC won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-1.5)Club Libertad won
- Spread: Universidad Central de Venezuela FC (-2.5)Club Libertad won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.