Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bolzano: Gabriele Crivellaro vs Gabriele Pennaforti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba05c61cddf9ce05f916c5275be4aab863c59b8330ff001d8b5ef0d4c8c8140b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriele Crivellaroof Gabriele Crivellaro, Gabriele Pennaforti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,609
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,706
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,609 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 32c | 559.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.99 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 64c | 503.48$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.11 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Gabriele Crivellaro | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 38c | 432.1$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.58 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 69c | 334.79$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.79 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 69c | 159.24$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Gabriele Crivellaro | 71c | 140.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Gabriele Crivellaro | 64c | 100.77$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 509 | 46.6%237 W · 272 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 17c | 98.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 70c | 95.84$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.75 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 44c | 90.8$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 69c | 75.36$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.36 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8543…ff1bbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 41c | 73.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 49c | 53.88$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Gabriele Crivellaro | 39c | 46.21$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 690 | 47%324 W · 366 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 51c | 43.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.15 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Gabriele Pennaforti | 61c | 26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Gabriele Pennaforti | 69c | 26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Gabriele Crivellaro | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Gabriele Crivellaro | 54c | 20.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.39 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.