CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: K27 vs WHITEBIRD (BO3) - GLuck StarPearl Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba1b62801f5cc7b19ab8cb73791d17f2ef2d8ed14c2e363c8d60dff6b17676d2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of K27, WHITEBIRD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,429
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x861f…a189backed K27 | 60c | 1,194$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.91 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed WHITEBIRD | 27c | 506.44$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.73 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed WHITEBIRD | 36c | 388.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.72 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1b…fa1dbacked WHITEBIRD | 73c | 274.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e2…8459backed WHITEBIRD | 37c | 235.14$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -53%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 32c | 205.48$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.91 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf91…3041backed WHITEBIRD | 16c | 203$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b59…3aa6backed K27 | 65c | 157.14$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 849 | 58.3%495 W · 354 L | +60.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed WHITEBIRD | 68c | 143.43$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…2ef0backed WHITEBIRD | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 240 | 55.8%134 W · 106 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…cf50backed WHITEBIRD | 60c | 141.87$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x76ff…a353backed WHITEBIRD | 78c | 134.55$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.66 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed WHITEBIRD | 45c | 47.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked WHITEBIRD | 50c | 45.71$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…61a8backed WHITEBIRD | 79c | 45.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked WHITEBIRD | 37c | 30.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d7…b2adbacked WHITEBIRD | 33c | 30.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85b4…3c44backed K27 | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d2…3c94backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a84…e21abacked WHITEBIRD | 55c | 25.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x004e…3b29backed K27 | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc3…75f6backed WHITEBIRD | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.