Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba3e8318e4e8627266bfd5df4ccaea261e75e40f0afbc19aad5018a15af8d716
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,573
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,573 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,075$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.44 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 50c | 922.9$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$458.45 | 169 | 53.8%91 W · 78 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 41c | 682.93$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.93 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 33c | 594.09$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.09 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 61c | 328.43$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.28 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 103 | 23.3%24 W · 79 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb475…978cbacked Yes | 43c | 299.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 236.38$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 44c | 169.08$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…5c13backed Yes | 42c | 119.05$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.05 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9869…1a45backed Yes | 56c | 117.86$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.86 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.38per pick | 52cpaid | +86.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Yes | 28c | 106.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.04 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +85.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Yes | 40c | 95.13$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.13 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…e3cabacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.91 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +85%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9055…8fbfbacked Yes | 45c | 90$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 57c | 87.36$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf8b…bff8backed Yes | 55c | 67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.15 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 65.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 44c | 61.06$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 56c | 59.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 45c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.49 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 44c | 49.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d50…d283backed Yes | 44c | 45.95$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.95 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 47c | 42.34$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.34 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 53c | 42.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Yes | 53c | 42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59b4…73e0backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c5f…0614backed Yes | 52c | 34.62$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 45c | 34.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.51 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…16c5backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 320 | 51.9%166 W · 154 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 63c | 25.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 64c | 19.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.33 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d49…7cc0backed No | 59c | 18.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.77 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Sandefjord Fotball win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Aalesunds FK win on 2026-05-03?No won
- Will Sandefjord Fotball vs. Aalesunds FK end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.