CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba4b39f688dfa5b3b1ab87132a5098ce425f979a20100f896007eaf43daf32c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Playersof Players, UNO MILLE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,141
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,141 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb69f…d51cbacked UNO MILLE | 1c | 3,970$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Players | 74c | 1,764$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.6 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Players | 47c | 1,516$712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$803.77 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Players | 54c | 819.8$439 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.01 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Players | 49c | 795.92$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.39 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked UNO MILLE | 66c | 689.95$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.18 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f4…8c1ebacked UNO MILLE | 60c | 654$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.56 | 279 | 47.7%133 W · 146 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Players | 36c | 443.09$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.3 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed UNO MILLE | 8c | 424.53$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4687…8d42backed UNO MILLE | 64c | 320.09$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.06 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UNO MILLE | 59c | 287.03$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.51 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked UNO MILLE | 15c | 268.78$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.54 | 98 | 48%47 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…e8fbbacked Players | 38c | 252.16$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 219 | 39.7%87 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Players | 56c | 246.49$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.57 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed UNO MILLE | 51c | 210$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.2 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Players | 48c | 190$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Players | 62c | 187.36$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked UNO MILLE | 18c | 149.4$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.92 | 50 | 36%18 W · 32 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked UNO MILLE | 63c | 88$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf255…39e9backed UNO MILLE | 52c | 86.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d85…c436backed UNO MILLE | 28c | 84.4$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.42 | 219 | 56.2%123 W · 96 L | +14.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc667…e68dbacked Players | 57c | 81.95$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed UNO MILLE | 46c | 74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 1,304 | 26.5%345 W · 959 L | -89.4wins | -0.07per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed UNO MILLE | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed UNO MILLE | 35c | 33.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8dec…60c2backed Players | 52c | 29.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked UNO MILLE | 55c | 23.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.87 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed UNO MILLE | 65c | 22.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 958 | 49.8%477 W · 481 L | -17.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed UNO MILLE | 54c | 18.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 373 | 39.7%148 W · 225 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE (BO3) - CCT South America Series #10 Group StagePlayers won
- Counter-Strike: Players vs UNO MILLE - Map 2 WinnerPlayers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.