CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5223b7b551d7773eaba267d77cb9565c83d67a5d7796d83a35f9015659fa56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Rooster, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,647
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,799
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,647 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Mindfreak | 75c | 2,000$1,490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Mindfreak | 62c | 1,574$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.92 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Rooster | 51c | 1,045$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.2 | 1,011 | 52.3%529 W · 482 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Rooster | 53c | 897.23$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.67 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Rooster | 23c | 836.79$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked Rooster | 53c | 827.08$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.19 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mindfreak | 64c | 802.07$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.22 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rooster | 25c | 660.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.56 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Rooster | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa981…ab19backed Rooster | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 74 | 6.8%5 W · 69 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rooster | 37c | 516.38$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.32 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Rooster | 19c | 505.74$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.38 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked Rooster | 49c | 400$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Rooster | 27c | 372.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.19 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Rooster | 26c | 372.49$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.85 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…62dfbacked Mindfreak | 42c | 357.79$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.79 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Rooster | 37c | 355.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.84 | 139 | 37.4%52 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mindfreak | 47c | 315.43$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.9 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Rooster | 11c | 268.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rooster | 54c | 263.66$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Mindfreak | 52c | 192.45$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.43 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Rooster | 52c | 184.04$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.19 | 227 | 50.2%114 W · 113 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mindfreak | 62c | 181.07$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Rooster | 30c | 171.69$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.51 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Rooster | 56c | 150$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.6 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ba…06b3backed Rooster | 40c | 146.08$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 150 | 45.3%68 W · 82 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Mindfreak | 48c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Rooster | 16c | 122$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked Rooster | 43c | 103.71$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rooster | 34c | 102.27$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.9 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Rooster | 68c | 96.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mindfreak | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.02 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Rooster | 18c | 91.13$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.48 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Mindfreak | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.85 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a12…a9a7backed Mindfreak | 69c | 89.99$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Mindfreak | 54c | 86.26$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.37 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba1e…1e15backed Rooster | 50c | 70$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Rooster | 46c | 67.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Mindfreak | 62c | 54.91$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.93 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb188…8be3backed Rooster | 44c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 245 | 58%142 W · 103 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed Rooster | 43c | 52.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 213 | 46.9%100 W · 113 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Rooster | 35c | 52.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Rooster | 24c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 270 | 37.8%102 W · 168 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Rooster | 47c | 43.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Rooster | 59c | 41.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Rooster | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 160 | 32.5%52 W · 108 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f4e…abebbacked Mindfreak | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Rooster | 56c | 27.03$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 526 | 45.1%237 W · 289 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Mindfreak | 45c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.28 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Mindfreak | 61c | 24.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Mindfreak | 49c | 21.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.14 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Rooster | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 850 | 54.4%462 W · 388 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x183b…b6e9backed Rooster | 48c | 20.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 320 | 54.4%174 W · 146 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb085…7b10backed Mindfreak | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.9 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Mindfreak | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 215 | 36.3%78 W · 137 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf70e…3204backed Mindfreak | 79c | 18.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 1 WinnerMindfreak won
- Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)Mindfreak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.