CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5166f57635c500118e09ec266a6a8a912d3079b8dcf21a973b90121201cbcb3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mindfreakof Rooster, Mindfreak
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,265
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Rooster | 53c | 8,236$4,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,369.18 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mindfreak | 43c | 2,549$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,442.82 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mindfreak | 45c | 2,322$1,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,276.23 | 7,990 | 50.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L | +180.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Mindfreak | 59c | 1,989$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.68 | 2,527 | 43.1%1,088 W · 1,439 L | +42.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d3…586bbacked Mindfreak | 56c | 867.91$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.96 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Mindfreak | 70c | 686.01$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.61 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5a…96bcbacked Rooster | 50c | 420$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 152 | 46.1%70 W · 82 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2817…62dfbacked Mindfreak | 75c | 367.28$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.88 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mindfreak | 50c | 346.34$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.72 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Mindfreak | 59c | 311.73$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.29 | 432 | 53%229 W · 203 L | +27.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Mindfreak | 41c | 272.88$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 1,325 | 44.1%584 W · 741 L | +44.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7126…bfcbbacked Rooster | 34c | 261.76$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Mindfreak | 43c | 229.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.92 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Mindfreak | 64c | 186.34$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.47 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Rooster | 40c | 124.49$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Rooster | 49c | 123.62$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Mindfreak | 64c | 113.22$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.33 | 2,143 | 47.3%1,013 W · 1,130 L | -61.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41c5…4485backed Mindfreak | 64c | 109.55$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Mindfreak | 48c | 108$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.54 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mindfreak | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 735 | 53.5%393 W · 342 L | +28.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Mindfreak | 50c | 97.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.78 | 170 | 55.3%94 W · 76 L | +11.3wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Rooster | 29c | 84.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +9.4wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rooster | 32c | 72.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 702 | 42.2%296 W · 406 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed Mindfreak | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Rooster | 23c | 66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2,798 | 37.6%1,051 W · 1,747 L | -138.2wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Rooster | 48c | 61.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1,890 | 41.9%791 W · 1,099 L | -71.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Rooster | 53c | 59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Mindfreak | 44c | 57.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.16 | 418 | 53.6%224 W · 194 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb5…819abacked Rooster | 30c | 55.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 120 | 51.7%62 W · 58 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…4cc3backed Mindfreak | 54c | 54.2$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.93 | 169 | 58%98 W · 71 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Rooster | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9051…32d2backed Mindfreak | 72c | 49.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.94 | 308 | 59.1%182 W · 126 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Rooster | 31c | 48.08$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 207 | 45.9%95 W · 112 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Rooster | 50c | 47.41$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.54 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Rooster | 38c | 42.37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.18 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Rooster | 43c | 42$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Mindfreak | 49c | 33.06$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 368 | 56.8%209 W · 159 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Mindfreak | 50c | 28.78$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.39 | 1,315 | 51.1%672 W · 643 L | -99.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Mindfreak | 44c | 27.47$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 241 | 52.3%126 W · 115 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Rooster | 43c | 23.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.05 | 890 | 46.1%410 W · 480 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak (BO3) - HyperX & Intel Nationals Group AMindfreak won
- Counter-Strike: Rooster vs Mindfreak - Map 2 WinnerMindfreak won
- Map Handicap: RSTR (-1.5) vs Mindfreak (+1.5)Mindfreak won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.