Premier League · resolved market
Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf067e5fff2f29df003b147afa5090395d39be1eccf44414479ade3785f85f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,275
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 24c | 6,812$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,634.05 | 755 | 42.3%319 W · 436 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 75c | 5,357$3,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,364.38 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 42c | 1,691$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.11 | 953 | 32.5%310 W · 643 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 57c | 973.74$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.74 | 812 | 34.7%282 W · 530 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Over | 44c | 634.58$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.39 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 43c | 284.88$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 541 | 32.9%178 W · 363 L | -28.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Over | 43c | 280.12$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.45 | 115 | 55.7%64 W · 51 L | +13.5wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 32c | 244.77$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.54 | 452 | 49.6%224 W · 228 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 79c | 219.16$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.13 | 84 | 64.3%54 W · 30 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460c…b5b5backed Under | 77c | 147.22$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.81 | 63 | 63.5%40 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 79c | 146.09$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.08 | 84 | 65.5%55 W · 29 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 75c | 102$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.14 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 76c | 73.02$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.29 | 273 | 56.4%154 W · 119 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 51c | 52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.52 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 49c | 52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.52 | 106 | 48.1%51 W · 55 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa146…6163backed Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.8wins | -0.18per pick | 49cpaid | -31%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x013f…ca85backed Under | 67c | 26.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 75c | 21.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 97 | 57.7%56 W · 41 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Over | 61c | 19.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 75c | 19.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -34%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Fleetwood Town FC vs. Chesterfield FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Chesterfield FC (-1.5)Fleetwood Town FC won
- Spread: Chesterfield FC (-2.5)Fleetwood Town FC won
- Spread: Fleetwood Town FC (-1.5)Chesterfield FC won
- Spread: Fleetwood Town FC (-2.5)Chesterfield FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.