CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Entropy - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1aa01764c1d29fdb76721e12934a82875bcd9ecf270ade43296400de0373c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Entropyof Misa Esports, Entropy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,957
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,957 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked Entropy | 51c | 1,739$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$859.03 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed Misa Esports | 57c | 1,500$850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$850 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Entropy | 54c | 853.23$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.42 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf6b…ca87backed Misa Esports | 2c | 600$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 53 | 5.7%3 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +183%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d6…041dbacked Misa Esports | 56c | 450$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.5 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -13.0wins | -0.19per pick | 55cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Misa Esports | 58c | 303.15$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.55 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Entropy | 62c | 293.39$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.3 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e5…cc65backed Entropy | 49c | 139.4$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.65 | 223 | 46.2%103 W · 120 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Misa Esports | 27c | 112$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Entropy | 65c | 108.93$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.14 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 99.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.63 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Misa Esports | 47c | 99.02$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 754 | 38.9%293 W · 461 L | -38.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Misa Esports | 37c | 96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Misa Esports | 29c | 80$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.98 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Entropy | 39c | 79.01$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 70.88$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.71 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Misa Esports | 48c | 51$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.71 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Entropy | 29c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.6 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Misa Esports | 46c | 40$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Misa Esports | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Misa Esports | 39c | 33.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7c99…9729backed Entropy | 71c | 17.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.16 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Entropy - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Entropy (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group DEntropy won
- Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Entropy - Map 1 WinnerEntropy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.