Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb466cab2c2ceb1d6cd989eab61d12212393663284eac511fe19c47dd3afbb08
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alabama Crimson Tideof Tennessee Volunteers, Alabama Crimson Tide
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,119
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,119 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 20,063$9,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,227.25 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 13,722$6,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,932.93 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 49c | 3,233$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.17 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Tennessee Volunteers | 54c | 3,046$1,654 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,653.5 | 277 | 55.2%153 W · 124 L | +19.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb44f…8c20backed Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 2,292$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.52 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 1,999$1,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.29 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 47c | 1,861$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.21 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…e864backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 49c | 1,458$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.57 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 44c | 1,417$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.84 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 54c | 911.61$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.95 | 133 | 50.4%67 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 869.55$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.8 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 715.54$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 347 | 46.1%160 W · 187 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 555.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.55 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 523.38$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.69 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e40…cf85backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 355.55$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 219 | 37.4%82 W · 137 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 221.13$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 192.14$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.07 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 191.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.8 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Tennessee Volunteers | 57c | 173.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.97 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Tennessee Volunteers | 48c | 162.58$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.71 | 852 | 48.8%416 W · 436 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 125$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.25 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 123.82$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.91 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Tennessee Volunteers | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…3dbebacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x453f…6b3bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 86.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.15 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 84.3$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 82.28$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.03 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 316 | 47.8%151 W · 165 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68f5…e67ebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 70.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…5d9bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 58c | 65.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 50c | 55$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 49.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 42c | 48.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…dedebacked Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 47.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 99 | 47.5%47 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 42.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.43 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Alabama Crimson Tide | 43c | 40$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe81b…ae69backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 38c | 37.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…3a5bbacked Tennessee Volunteers | 51c | 29.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Alabama Crimson Tide | 45c | 26.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Tennessee Volunteers | 56c | 21.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.29 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Tennessee Volunteers | 55c | 19.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Tennessee Volunteers | 54c | 19.83$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Tennessee Volunteers | 52c | 19.75$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-4.5)this page
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee VolunteersAlabama Crimson Tide won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 163.5Under won
- Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 164.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.