Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
San Diego Toreros vs. San Francisco Dons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5e61c7435b736270a2362255ad1e1636c281d22f85ef6a23318c433cc1331c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Francisco Donsof San Diego Toreros, San Francisco Dons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,145
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,134
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,145 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x067f…e041backed San Diego Toreros | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed San Diego Toreros | 2c | 5,732$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.35 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed San Diego Toreros | 2c | 1,447$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 115 | 7%8 W · 107 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked San Diego Toreros | 15c | 1,001$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.06 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed San Diego Toreros | 13c | 770$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked San Diego Toreros | 2c | 524$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d3…4c58backed San Diego Toreros | 12c | 419.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed San Diego Toreros | 18c | 413.38$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.05 | 105 | 11.4%12 W · 93 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked San Diego Toreros | 24c | 349.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.3 | 149 | 25.5%38 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a1…a993backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 229.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked San Diego Toreros | 16c | 189.38$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -14.7wins | -0.14per pick | 61cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed San Francisco Dons | 77c | 183.53$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.51 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b6…31e9backed San Diego Toreros | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked San Diego Toreros | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked San Diego Toreros | 18c | 95.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed San Diego Toreros | 16c | 66.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.