South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Banfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb76e19ae7bbb242e65023f5ce9279926f3f1eef7ed05e99fe01c90225128bd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,428
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,428 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 78c | 5,471$4,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,196.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 19c | 2,863$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.37 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 69c | 2,081$1,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.37 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 1,987$523 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.59 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,907$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.97 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 21c | 1,825$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.8 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 13c | 1,538$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 79c | 662.05$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.23 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 578.36$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.45 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15c6…ca31backed Yes | 33c | 316.36$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed No | 68c | 272.05$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.05 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 10c | 211.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 33c | 208.76$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 14c | 205.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Yes | 12c | 200$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe36a…2590backed No | 68c | 191.9$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Yes | 7c | 157.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 8.1%5 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 67c | 151.8$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.09 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 675 | 48%324 W · 351 L | -18.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 22c | 136.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bb…74fcbacked Yes | 14c | 135.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Yes | 33c | 130$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.9 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 14c | 129.21$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 282 | 31.6%89 W · 193 L | -10.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…451ebacked No | 68c | 124.99$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 25c | 108.34$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.19 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 12c | 105$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 68c | 97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 78c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 30c | 89.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 270 | 53%143 W · 127 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 67c | 84.06$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.74 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 31c | 81.25$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.59 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 67c | 72.06$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.78 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c5…cb95backed Yes | 17c | 71.3$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaec…f856backed Yes | 26c | 59.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.65 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -74.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 31c | 53.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.73 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 27c | 39.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 32c | 39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 76c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.39 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 31c | 33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Banfield vs. Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2026-03-11?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.