Tennis · resolved market
ITF Castelo Branco: Vasco Leote Prata vs Pavlos Tsitsipas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb7e0de9f684ceb39a0a65e1841f03c8a3a19b6b06c1f74a139295786190ff24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pavlos Tsitsipasof Vasco Leote Prata, Pavlos Tsitsipas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,321
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,321 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Vasco Leote Prata | 52c | 549.92$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 45c | 501.19$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.82 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 66c | 256.27$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.64 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Vasco Leote Prata | 73c | 236$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.32 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Vasco Leote Prata | 12c | 227$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.24 | 359 | 32.6%117 W · 242 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 27c | 140.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.83 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Vasco Leote Prata | 15c | 109.38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.78 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 107.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.14 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 31c | 90.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.89 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Vasco Leote Prata | 53c | 80.25$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.33 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Vasco Leote Prata | 77c | 66.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8920…9c0cbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 29c | 57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 293 | 47.4%139 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 21c | 51.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.07 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95ae…c9eebacked Vasco Leote Prata | 79c | 50.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 21c | 50.31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.74 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc95d…d369backed Vasco Leote Prata | 55c | 46.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 170 | 50.6%86 W · 84 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 23c | 45.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.14 | 408 | 61.3%250 W · 158 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Vasco Leote Prata | 42c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Pavlos Tsitsipas | 42c | 26.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.29 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Vasco Leote Prata | 77c | 20.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…83a6backed Vasco Leote Prata | 76c | 20.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 71cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Vasco Leote Prata | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Vasco Leote Prata | 68c | 17.75$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.