Tennis · resolved market
Tigre 2: Carlos Maria Zarate vs Gianluca Cadenasso
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb8f9a13842351d8af38d6e74c0d13a6a139b9b772843cd0a0cfc47bb733405d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cadenassoof Zarate, Cadenasso
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,739
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,739 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cadenasso | 44c | 9,179$4,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145.73 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Zarate | 59c | 3,371$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.88 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Zarate | 65c | 3,257$2,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,106.57 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x969b…db70backed Zarate | 1c | 2,857$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 0%0 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Cadenasso | 45c | 2,043$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.59 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe4e…6b67backed Zarate | 23c | 2,013$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464 | 34 | 26.5%9 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Cadenasso | 30c | 1,870$554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,316.49 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Zarate | 25c | 1,044$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1,130 | 27.9%315 W · 815 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Cadenasso | 48c | 933.78$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.13 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Cadenasso | 37c | 730.25$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$462.25 | 151 | 17.9%27 W · 124 L | -9.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Zarate | 21c | 685.69$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.09 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Zarate | 52c | 654$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.67 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Zarate | 63c | 631.71$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.96 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Zarate | 70c | 611.78$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Cadenasso | 32c | 608.02$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.63 | 163 | 58.9%96 W · 67 L | +12.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cadenasso | 78c | 589.01$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.88 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Cadenasso | 35c | 517$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.18 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Zarate | 56c | 495$279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.93 | 562 | 44.1%248 W · 314 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0baa…083dbacked Zarate | 23c | 352.05$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Zarate | 55c | 314$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.33 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Zarate | 75c | 312$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.5 | 930 | 48.8%454 W · 476 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Cadenasso | 52c | 288.3$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.38 | 6,652 | 50.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L | +263.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Cadenasso | 77c | 258.41$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.43 | 237 | 31.6%75 W · 162 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Cadenasso | 53c | 232.6$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.85 | 1,123 | 50.3%565 W · 558 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb31…7b95backed Cadenasso | 44c | 221.46$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.13 | 680 | 26.2%178 W · 502 L | -24.5wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Zarate | 20c | 184$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Zarate | 19c | 153.67$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.38 | 375 | 49.1%184 W · 191 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b7…a035backed Cadenasso | 68c | 146.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.45 | 235 | 54.5%128 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a32…9875backed Zarate | 11c | 120$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Zarate | 23c | 119.19$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Cadenasso | 79c | 102.96$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.83 | 290 | 63.8%185 W · 105 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Cadenasso | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…dea4backed Cadenasso | 57c | 85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7db0…f397backed Zarate | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.33 | 136 | 47.1%64 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd280…54f4backed Zarate | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Zarate | 35c | 43.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Cadenasso | 45c | 43.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.1 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cadenasso | 80c | 41$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Cadenasso | 80c | 36$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Cadenasso | 80c | 35.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Zarate | 39c | 34.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Cadenasso | 52c | 33.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Cadenasso | 54c | 32.37$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec8d…453dbacked Zarate | 71c | 30.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 95 | 43.2%41 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Cadenasso | 68c | 29.01$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 430 | 58.6%252 W · 178 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e6c…1c75backed Cadenasso | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2644…2432backed Zarate | 64c | 20.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.