Ligue 1 · resolved market
Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb9f7adad5974da82993b6433761ea1ddeab7371c2a93547f2737fac637ff2e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,767
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,431
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,767 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Yes | 56c | 1,772$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$772.3 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 852.48$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.21 | 1,916 | 45.5%872 W · 1,044 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 41c | 835$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.98 | 1,415 | 40.8%577 W · 838 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x478a…2deabacked Yes | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa04d…1488backed No | 44c | 500$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 51 | 33.3%17 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed No | 44c | 491.07$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.07 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 44c | 480.36$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.36 | 356 | 50.6%180 W · 176 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 74c | 336.71$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.71 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x79cc…8026backed Yes | 56c | 294.64$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.64 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 46c | 281.48$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.48 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.34per pick | 39cpaid | +147.3%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…dd9fbacked Yes | 54c | 277.78$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 96 | 41.7%40 W · 56 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aea…ec91backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9230…63b2backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc38d…48e3backed Yes | 71c | 91.15$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.15 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.20per pick | 66cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Olympique de Marseille vs. Toulouse FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)Toulouse FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.