CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbdd625566608f0395fe6fa97dcd5b93e7408239bf6a604d79a1734d92c6ff7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Nuclear TigeRES, BET-M 33
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,095
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,095 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7576…54b6backed BET-M 33 | 0c | 24,830$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bf…05b6backed BET-M 33 | 17c | 300.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 23.9%22 W · 70 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 68c | 250.66$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 681 | 72.2%492 W · 189 L | +120.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…e9dbbacked BET-M 33 | 6c | 243.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf404…daaabacked BET-M 33 | 40c | 240$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 109 | 33%36 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed BET-M 33 | 33c | 232.59$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 67c | 223.85$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.85 | 298 | 54.7%163 W · 135 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 71c | 182.64$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.48 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked BET-M 33 | 17c | 111.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.87 | 2,195 | 43.1%946 W · 1,249 L | -68.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 107.37$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.23 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 64c | 99.93$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.01 | 3,544 | 29.3%1,037 W · 2,507 L | -289.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Nuclear TigeRES | 70c | 92$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 72.63$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 2,365 | 45.4%1,074 W · 1,291 L | -58.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2133…7903backed BET-M 33 | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 402 | 34.6%139 W · 263 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked BET-M 33 | 34c | 49.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nuclear TigeRES | 69c | 48.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.86 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca5f…41f5backed BET-M 33 | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 112 | 52.7%59 W · 53 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 17.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.26 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs BET-M 33 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs BET-M 33 (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group StageNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs BET-M 33 - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs BET-M 33 (+1.5)Nuclear TigeRES won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.