Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbf90eed889e0b6ed8219ce5af168e50f17ef390035ca2263ef278ee7fa90810
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,069
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,730
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,069 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 25c | 898.59$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.59 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37d…b2b4backed No | 75c | 452.76$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.62 | 321 | 57.3%184 W · 137 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4da2…41e5backed Yes | 23c | 399.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…a3d1backed No | 77c | 335.09$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.26 | 275 | 60%165 W · 110 L | +7.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 23c | 326.53$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.58 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b1…aba6backed Yes | 25c | 269.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.87 | 774 | 28.6%221 W · 553 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96b…7f20backed Yes | 27c | 269.65$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…5dcdbacked Yes | 32c | 215.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.09 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aea…2ab8backed Yes | 28c | 204.83$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.02 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…e041backed Yes | 24c | 199.14$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.24 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | -8.9wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 28c | 168.32$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.71 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd229…fcd6backed Yes | 18c | 149.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 1,242 | 16.7%207 W · 1,035 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3119…a6d9backed Yes | 29c | 145.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.29 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 66cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 28c | 143.22$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2afd…b013backed No | 79c | 126.91$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed Yes | 19c | 122.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 1,605 | 42.9%689 W · 916 L | -86.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf40…38b8backed No | 72c | 117.31$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 583 | 49.4%288 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9eb…3d11backed No | 75c | 111.57$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.02 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c0…5443backed No | 77c | 110$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…37a2backed Yes | 24c | 106.71$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.87 | 1,592 | 30.8%491 W · 1,101 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae07…8059backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 435 | 25.3%110 W · 325 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd65a…6599backed Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 94 | 7.4%7 W · 87 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x129c…0085backed Yes | 30c | 99.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f12…7057backed No | 70c | 98.59$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.92 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 22c | 92.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Yes | 22c | 89.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa530…88f6backed Yes | 26c | 88.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 85 | 31.8%27 W · 58 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 70c | 84.48$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 1,842 | 63.5%1,170 W · 672 L | -42.5wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2845…b637backed Yes | 24c | 80.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 853 | 30.7%262 W · 591 L | +28.2wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 71c | 78.35$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.64 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Yes | 26c | 76.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 233 | 49.8%116 W · 117 L | -15.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -27%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 24c | 76.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…faeabacked No | 75c | 73.83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.79 | 311 | 70.7%220 W · 91 L | +42.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xe0eb…a7d8backed No | 76c | 65.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.53 | 58 | 74.1%43 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6316…7488backed Yes | 27c | 63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 153 | 34%52 W · 101 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 76c | 62.36$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…6bf3backed Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 196 | 17.9%35 W · 161 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 12cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…2b4abacked Yes | 27c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 149 | 15.4%23 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb20e…58cebacked No | 73c | 55.13$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 72cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84cb…4b77backed No | 69c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 318 | 68.6%218 W · 100 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 69c | 50.34$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7396…b89cbacked No | 72c | 49.09$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 107 | 80.4%86 W · 21 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 74cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed Yes | 22c | 48.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda7b…3c9fbacked No | 69c | 48.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 125 | 67.2%84 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd228…ea6fbacked Yes | 30c | 48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 229 | 34.1%78 W · 151 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…ca53backed No | 80c | 42.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e05…0f40backed Yes | 29c | 41$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1236…78bebacked No | 73c | 40.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 73 | 30.1%22 W · 51 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab5…8a41backed Yes | 32c | 40.04$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fde…b480backed Yes | 26c | 39.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe03a…439fbacked Yes | 26c | 39.97$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 189 | 10.6%20 W · 169 L | -87.5wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -84%equal weight | 5-0.41 edge/pick |
| 0x26ef…9808backed No | 76c | 38.38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.21 | 92 | 77.2%71 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade1…9040backed Yes | 28c | 37.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 338 | 39.9%135 W · 203 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc498…8ba5backed Yes | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 424 | 38.9%165 W · 259 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 73c | 37.03$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 72c | 33.72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.48 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 1,002 | 60.9%610 W · 392 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 67c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.44 | 3,175 | 62.7%1,992 W · 1,183 L | +12.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5c…1d38backed No | 79c | 31.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b2…8e12backed No | 72c | 31.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 474 | 42.4%201 W · 273 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77df…8869backed Yes | 33c | 31.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 73c | 30.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x148f…2f09backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 71 | 40.8%29 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6de1…5301backed No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 69 | 85.5%59 W · 10 L | +10.0wins | +0.14per pick | 71cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6e3e…522abacked No | 68c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 102 | 37.3%38 W · 64 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16d9…f0b0backed No | 75c | 27.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 286 | 48.3%138 W · 148 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd41f…bb32backed No | 77c | 26.11$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.11 | 32 | 75%24 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…d57dbacked No | 73c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 486 | 72%350 W · 136 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed No | 73c | 24.49$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88e2…d474backed No | 68c | 24.32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 166 | 39.2%65 W · 101 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…3767backed No | 78c | 23.73$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +15%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…4f99backed No | 69c | 21.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.86 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd85…7a3dbacked No | 65c | 20.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 1,050 | 51.2%538 W · 512 L | -99.4wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbcce…65afbacked No | 79c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.25 | 277 | 71.5%198 W · 79 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d51…10babacked No | 70c | 19.6$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked No | 71c | 19.03$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fa…0b7dbacked No | 68c | 17.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.56 | 407 | 77.1%314 W · 93 L | +28.1wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…337abacked No | 70c | 17.26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 72c | 15.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.24 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b6c…d8cdbacked No | 73c | 15.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 73 | 75.3%55 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 73cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6572…3968backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 45 | 71.1%32 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…a957backed No | 77c | 13.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.05 | 39 | 76.9%30 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on March 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be 71°F or below on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 26?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on March 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on March 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.