Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc4f3bda6b1266f85f37dc98536c7958173ebd906e9c5d0e3d6f5e0d504d43af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LUA Gamingof LUA Gaming, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,918
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,435
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,918 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x58f8…dc70backed LUA Gaming | 76c | 887.68$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.09 | 403 | 70.2%283 W · 120 L | +31.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed UB Alma Mater | 24c | 526.1$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.23 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed UB Alma Mater | 21c | 342.18$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.86 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed UB Alma Mater | 24c | 289.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.54 | 200 | 36.5%73 W · 127 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb57d…07bfbacked UB Alma Mater | 26c | 223.67$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 272 | 44.1%120 W · 152 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed LUA Gaming | 76c | 216.67$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 1,310 | 37.3%489 W · 821 L | -86.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xed94…c059backed UB Alma Mater | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 166 | 23.5%39 W · 127 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UB Alma Mater | 21c | 201.84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.39 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked LUA Gaming | 79c | 193.54$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed LUA Gaming | 79c | 190.98$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 1,372 | 48.6%667 W · 705 L | +57.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UB Alma Mater | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked LUA Gaming | 79c | 132.45$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.71 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c6…d14dbacked LUA Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked LUA Gaming | 78c | 95.03$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1,922 | 42.2%811 W · 1,111 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed UB Alma Mater | 22c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 1,643 | 44.4%730 W · 913 L | -42.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b85…c314backed LUA Gaming | 79c | 69.81$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.81 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked UB Alma Mater | 23c | 53.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked UB Alma Mater | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 429 | 41.5%178 W · 251 L | -24.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked LUA Gaming | 78c | 35$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked LUA Gaming | 78c | 29.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.56 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed LUA Gaming | 74c | 19.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 156 | 60.9%95 W · 61 L | +8.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…c227backed LUA Gaming | 78c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 80 | 83.8%67 W · 13 L | +11.2wins | +0.14per pick | 70cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonLUA Gaming won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerLUA Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.