Lol · resolved market
LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa27f6b02e8bc79b0ae641e28ff176a6fdbb8fff0eec86ff28eb55ef8806cddbe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- LUA Gamingof LUA Gaming, UB Alma Mater
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,313
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,342
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,313 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed UB Alma Mater | 14c | 2,500$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 1,308 | 38.6%505 W · 803 L | -64.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked UB Alma Mater | 16c | 1,505$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.8 | 299 | 40.1%120 W · 179 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 1,377$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.12 | 282 | 40.8%115 W · 167 L | -16.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 1,335$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.19 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 1,185$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.67 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed UB Alma Mater | 18c | 1,120$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.76 | 218 | 36.7%80 W · 138 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64fa…2f1fbacked UB Alma Mater | 10c | 1,107$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked UB Alma Mater | 9c | 1,050$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.5 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed UB Alma Mater | 14c | 977.62$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.09 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 861.42$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.51 | 92 | 30.4%28 W · 64 L | -9.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe252…5714backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 811.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 37 | 13.5%5 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c98…186dbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 688.74$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.54 | 221 | 42.5%94 W · 127 L | -13.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 515.34$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.99 | 163 | 39.3%64 W · 99 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 502.77$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 1,258 | 38.6%485 W · 773 L | -61.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 499.96$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.99 | 89 | 22.5%20 W · 69 L | -6.9wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88b0…f8d8backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 474.08$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.63 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 437.89$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.55 | 246 | 43.1%106 W · 140 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…a8efbacked UB Alma Mater | 6c | 436.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.73 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 388.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 246 | 42.3%104 W · 142 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24dc…25abbacked UB Alma Mater | 16c | 387.2$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.71 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 357.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed UB Alma Mater | 12c | 334.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.01 | 679 | 31.8%216 W · 463 L | -31.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd02a…4771backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 192 | 32.8%63 W · 129 L | -17.2wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa1…d5dabacked UB Alma Mater | 8c | 277.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 238 | 31.5%75 W · 163 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked UB Alma Mater | 14c | 231.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 2,679 | 35.7%957 W · 1,722 L | -153.5wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1728…08f4backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 231.54$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked UB Alma Mater | 6c | 230.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked UB Alma Mater | 19c | 188.34$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.78 | 905 | 37.5%339 W · 566 L | -18.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 179.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 545 | 29.7%162 W · 383 L | -34.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb57f…0c96backed UB Alma Mater | 13c | 171.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.16 | 438 | 39.7%174 W · 264 L | -24.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked UB Alma Mater | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 348 | 49.1%171 W · 177 L | +11.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19c1…8e22backed UB Alma Mater | 8c | 136.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 130$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 325 | 42.2%137 W · 188 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa0…1160backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 123.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked UB Alma Mater | 13c | 120$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 107.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed UB Alma Mater | 15c | 103$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 438 | 37.9%166 W · 272 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed UB Alma Mater | 17c | 103$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.02 | 222 | 39.6%88 W · 134 L | -21.7wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked UB Alma Mater | 15c | 101.49$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 1,447 | 13.3%192 W · 1,255 L | -109.5wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed UB Alma Mater | 16c | 86.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 239 | 38.1%91 W · 148 L | -16.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked UB Alma Mater | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 283 | 41%116 W · 167 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked UB Alma Mater | 15c | 74.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked UB Alma Mater | 15c | 72.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 602 | 43.4%261 W · 341 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater (BO3) - LES Regular Seasonthis page
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 1 WinnerLUA Gaming won
- LoL: LUA Gaming vs UB Alma Mater - Game 2 WinnerLUA Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.