Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Bonk vs Team Liquid Academy (BO3) - VCL NORTH//EAST Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc6a51a3eafb42603ccb0a92fb57d94203909db4e874a55a02caef9c7c466173
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Liquid Academyof Bonk, Team Liquid Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbfe9…4a83backed Bonk | 61c | 479.35$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.15per pick | 41cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…3e8fbacked Team Liquid Academy | 57c | 343.84$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.36 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085e…9aeabacked Bonk | 56c | 207.89$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Team Liquid Academy | 68c | 180.42$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 425 | 40.5%172 W · 253 L | -22.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Team Liquid Academy | 14c | 97.26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.64 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Team Liquid Academy | 58c | 73.12$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Team Liquid Academy | 45c | 70.05$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.86 | 463 | 26.6%123 W · 340 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d30…11f1backed Team Liquid Academy | 48c | 68.46$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…c31cbacked Team Liquid Academy | 63c | 53.1$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.84 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed Bonk | 37c | 44.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bonk | 28c | 43.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2f…fc51backed Team Liquid Academy | 50c | 40.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.23 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d7…55c2backed Bonk | 41c | 38.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Bonk | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x435a…21a5backed Bonk | 46c | 23.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66b3…cbe0backed Team Liquid Academy | 58c | 21.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x537a…7447backed Team Liquid Academy | 59c | 19.84$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.