Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ystad: Ida Wobker vs Thea Frodin
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc8379ccd8aed56cfbef702cb1bbe4bf3bc7553b5ba243989e0b0d21dc7cc632
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Thea Frodinof Ida Wobker, Thea Frodin
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,886
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,917
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,886 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ida Wobker | 35c | 509.33$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.98 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc9…29a8backed Ida Wobker | 15c | 225$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 10cpaid | -88.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thea Frodin | 63c | 193.17$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Ida Wobker | 10c | 190$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3b…9035backed Thea Frodin | 66c | 151.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.55 | 307 | 55%169 W · 138 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…558bbacked Ida Wobker | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 48 | 10.4%5 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda42…ba30backed Thea Frodin | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Ida Wobker | 22c | 70.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.33 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thea Frodin | 78c | 69.72$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thea Frodin | 70c | 65.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.87 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Thea Frodin | 79c | 60.19$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.46 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Thea Frodin | 79c | 52$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…13a2backed Thea Frodin | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Ida Wobker | 36c | 27.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked Thea Frodin | 66c | 27.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.28 | 486 | 50.6%246 W · 240 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Ystad: Ida Wobker vs Thea Frodinthis page
- Ida Wobker vs. Thea Frodin: Total Sets O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
- Set 2 Winner: Wobker vs FrodinWobker won
- Set Handicap: Frodin (-1.5) vs Wobker (+1.5)Wobker won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.